Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 6.705274 7.350407 8.047905 8.861034 9.786673 10.811984 12.039686
2026-02-08 5.725555 6.564126 7.527143 8.724922 10.188831 11.938296 14.215532
2026-02-15 5.099593 6.021556 7.123806 8.556937 10.398375 12.723785 15.946999
2026-02-22 4.689907 5.670085 6.880644 8.513162 10.701001 13.598300 17.844165
2026-03-01 4.269588 5.256404 6.506218 8.240809 10.645104 13.954972 19.036661
2026-03-08 3.875713 4.840560 6.087309 7.858245 10.381551 13.969159 19.699365
2026-03-15 3.627020 4.593941 5.868208 7.720363 10.433532 14.420108 21.054548
2026-03-22 3.664586 4.728489 6.167806 8.325824 11.609263 16.660146 25.573072
2026-03-29 3.559816 4.658127 6.173886 8.501470 12.149466 17.969820 28.743676
2026-04-05 3.358472 4.439216 5.952375 8.316867 12.104781 18.316052 30.241540
2026-04-12 3.259818 4.359443 5.925051 8.422115 12.527708 19.485102 33.454844
2026-04-19 3.106305 4.191388 5.756283 8.292077 12.546919 19.947681 35.354565
2026-04-26 2.966515 4.040776 5.611379 8.199987 12.639914 20.586148 37.808123
2026-05-03 2.830225 3.888650 5.455667 8.079300 12.672718 21.118844 40.148819
2026-05-10 2.697908 3.735555 5.289166 7.927447 12.633521 21.504341 42.229731
2026-05-17 2.601845 3.632501 5.194432 7.887887 12.791483 22.292172 45.415213
2026-05-24 2.466956 3.463744 4.986939 7.641584 12.543643 22.226578 46.491117
2026-05-31 2.319360 3.269599 4.730242 7.295170 12.079994 21.664042 46.198053
2026-06-07 2.228076 3.159718 4.604410 7.170187 12.030512 21.973998 48.275428
2026-06-14 2.279016 3.274941 4.849767 7.718496 13.344794 25.429994 59.964879
2026-06-21 2.249800 3.260612 4.879325 7.877318 13.894036 27.249652 67.520548
2026-06-28 2.161883 3.147931 4.738062 7.710394 13.753028 27.418306 69.921066
2026-07-05 2.126024 3.118506 4.736638 7.805578 14.173645 29.011740 77.562405